IPO Boom in India: Are Valuations Justified or Overheated?

India’s capital markets are in the midst of one of their busiest phases ever, with the IPO pipeline in 2025 continuing strong despite some cooling. As of mid-2025, around 108 IPOs have raised $4.6 billion, a 30% decline in volume from the previous year, but with stable proceeds, signaling a shift toward higher-quality issues over sheer quantity. This follows a record-breaking 2024, when IPO proceeds doubled to $11.2 billion from $5.5 billion in 2023.

Looking ahead, 162 companies are projected to raise nearly ₹2.4 lakh crore ($28.6 billion) this year. The big question now facing investors is clear: do these valuations reflect genuine growth potential, or is India heading into overheated territory?

The Surge in IPOs: Drivers and Trends

The IPO boom has been fueled by structural and cyclical forces:

  • Robust Economy: With GDP projected to grow 6–7% annually, India remains one of the fastest-growing major economies.
  • Liquidity Surge: Systematic investment plans (SIPs) have grown at a 28% CAGR, providing a steady stream of domestic capital.
  • Regulatory Tailwinds: A transparent listing framework and strong SEBI oversight have boosted investor trust.
  • Sectoral Diversity: From tech and renewables to cement and logistics, offerings span across India’s growth spectrum.

In the first half of 2025 alone, 39 mainboard IPOs raised ₹510 billion ($6.1 billion), with average listing gains of ~70% in Q1. That said, gains tapered off as global volatility and interest rate uncertainty grew.

India also commands 22% of global IPO activity in Q1 2025, raising $2.8 billion across 62 offerings—making it one of the world’s hottest IPO markets.

Yet, beneath the momentum lies a reality check: IPOs since late 2024 have delivered muted post-listing returns, reflecting growing investor selectivity.

Notable IPOs and Their Performance

Several high-profile IPOs in 2024–2025 highlight the mixed outcomes of this boom:

  • Vikram Solar: Raised capital at aggressive valuations (P/E over 40x), backed by strong order books. However, shares remain volatile, trading 20–30% below peaks.
  • Premier Energies: Priced at ₹427–450 per share, marking a 1,000% valuation jump from its placement price just a year earlier. Entirely an offer-for-sale issue, raising concerns over promoter exits. After initial gains, the stock corrected 15–20%.
  • JSW Cement: Priced in line with industry leader UltraTech Cement, leaving little upside, yet showing the trend of IPOs priced at premiums to peers.
  • Winners: M&B Engineering (up 20.44%), National Securities Depository (up 48.69%), Sacheerome Ltd (up 75.49%).
  • Laggards: Laxmi India Finance (down 8.45%), Ola Electric (₹160 → ₹40), Tata Technologies (₹1,400 → ₹700).

The SME IPO space has seen even more dramatic moves:

  • Owais Metals listed at ₹275 and surged to ₹1,500, valuing it at ₹2,700 crore despite just ₹80 crore in revenues.
  • Kodytech soared from ₹200 to ₹3,600, now valued at ₹2,300 crore on ₹25 crore revenues—clear signs of valuation excesses.

Arguments for Justified Valuations

Supporters argue that Indian IPO valuations are not irrational, but reflect structural strengths:

  • Growth Premium: Sectors like renewables, EVs, and digital services justify higher multiples due to long-term potential.
  • Liquidity Backing: Domestic inflows through SIPs and insurance funds are outpacing even nominal GDP growth.
  • Global Confidence: India’s 22% share of global IPOs in Q1 reflects strong foreign investor belief in the India story.
  • Market Depth: Experts like Vishal Kampani (JM Financial) see IPOs adding $2–3 trillion in market cap over the next decade.

Signs of Overheating

Critics, however, see classic signs of a bubble:

  • Excessive Pricing: Many IPOs are valued at 5x fair value or 10x private equity entry costs.
  • Exit Route for Promoters: Entire offer-for-sale IPOs (like Premier Energies) raise red flags.
  • SME Mania: Cases like Kodytech echo the 1990s IPO frenzy, where wealth was destroyed after initial euphoria.
  • Volatility and Corrections: Listing gains have dropped in 2025, while post-listing performance has disappointed.
  • Anchor Investor Risks: Analysts suggest “friendly anchors” help inflate subscriptions, leaving retail investors exposed.

Bloomberg recently questioned whether India is a “bubble about to burst”, citing sharp declines in new-age IPOs like Ola Electric and Tata Tech.

Expert Opinions and Market Sentiment

  • Sandip Sabharwal (Analyst): Warns against IPOs priced higher than industry leaders, calling it “reverse pricing.”
  • Anurag Singh (Value Investor): Predicts SIP investors may struggle for even 10% annual returns this decade.
  • Kotak Investment Banking: Believes valuations are “reasonable” in a global context, with further upside ahead.
  • Market Voices (X/Twitter): “Hype is temporary, valuation is permanent”—a growing cautionary theme.

KPMG reports that NSE alone raised $17.3 billion in FY25 IPOs, while Livemint notes 163 offerings raising ₹67,000 crore by July 2025, showing the scale of activity.

Conclusion: Navigating the Boom Wisely

India’s IPO market in 2025 is both a symbol of economic dynamism and a warning bell of excess. While high-growth firms in renewables, technology, and infrastructure may justify their rich valuations, frothy SME pricing, aggressive PE exits, and parallels to past manias cannot be ignored.

Spread the love

Leave a Comment